Italian Serie AAI BET PREDICTION200 sims
Genoa vs Venezia
Sun, 14:00
1
Final Outcome Model200 simulated matches — Genoa won 89 of 200 sims (fair market probability 42.8%)
Genoa44.5%
2
Correct Result Model200 simulated matches — most common score matching the totals verdict: 2-0 in 15% of sims (xG 1.20 vs 0.90)
2 - 014.5%
3
Over/Under Model200 simulated matches — same scorelines as the Correct Result model: over hit in 70 of 200 sims (expected total 2.10 goals)
Under 2.565.0%
Genoa42.8%2.15 @ DraftKings
Draw29.7%3.10 @ DraftKings
Venezia27.5%3.35 @ DraftKings
Majority verdict: Genoa — 3 of 3 models agree after 200 simulations each (avg 41.3% simulated frequency).
Model output, not betting advice. 18+